Nope, two playoff spots to the two teams that will win their groups . We have more than 60% chance to get that playoff spot now. The 8 group winners in League A and B will most likely all get to the first two places during qualifiers and most likely even Slovenia/Grece might reach the playoff spot. Meanwhile i’m not sure where are we placed compared to Montenegro in Nations League Rankings while Macedonia is out and we’re clearly ahead of Armenia.artan wrote: ↑Wed Nov 18, 2020 7:49 pmNothing. It’s mathematically impossible. Nations league was only gonna give two potential playoff spots for the highest ranking teams that didn’t qualify through normal qualification.Aurora Bulkualis wrote: ↑Wed Nov 18, 2020 7:44 pm So what needs to happen to qualify to World Cup through Nations League?
It’s why we shouldn’t be getting promoted.
Albanian National Team [General topic]
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That’s not true. Only group winners are ranked for wc playoff spots. Assuming all league a and league b group winners finish 1st or second in normal qualifiers, then league c comes into play. Montenegro, Armenia and us topped our groups. Slovenia will likely top theirs. We are ranked third based on points, so we would need one of Slovenia or Montenegro to not need a playoff spot thru nations league, highly unlikely but Slovenia has been doing very well so you never knowartan wrote: ↑Wed Nov 18, 2020 7:49 pmNothing. It’s mathematically impossible. Nations league was only gonna give two potential playoff spots for the highest ranking teams that didn’t qualify through normal qualification.Aurora Bulkualis wrote: ↑Wed Nov 18, 2020 7:44 pm So what needs to happen to qualify to World Cup through Nations League?
It’s why we shouldn’t be getting promoted.
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Slovenia and Montenegro have more points than us in a league C. Then there’s the teams in League B as well.Simboli i Diellit wrote: ↑Wed Nov 18, 2020 7:58 pmNope, two playoff spots to the two teams that will win their groups . We have more than 60% chance to get that playoff spot now. The 8 group winners in League A and B will most likely all get to the first two places during qualifiers and most likely even Slovenia/Grece might reach the playoff spot. Meanwhile i’m not sure where are we placed compared to Montenegro in Nations League Rankings while Macedonia is out and we’re clearly ahead of Armenia.artan wrote: ↑Wed Nov 18, 2020 7:49 pmNothing. It’s mathematically impossible. Nations league was only gonna give two potential playoff spots for the highest ranking teams that didn’t qualify through normal qualification.Aurora Bulkualis wrote: ↑Wed Nov 18, 2020 7:44 pm So what needs to happen to qualify to World Cup through Nations League?
It’s why we shouldn’t be getting promoted.
We blew it by dropping points early. We should have drawed so we can get an easy path to qualify for Euro 2024. Look at Macedonia today it was so obvious there were playing their second unit so they don’t get promoted.
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https://www.uefa.com/MultimediaFiles/Do ... WNLOAD.pdfartan wrote: ↑Wed Nov 18, 2020 8:03 pmSlovenia and Montenegro have more points than us in a league C. Then there’s the teams in League B as well.Simboli i Diellit wrote: ↑Wed Nov 18, 2020 7:58 pmNope, two playoff spots to the two teams that will win their groups . We have more than 60% chance to get that playoff spot now. The 8 group winners in League A and B will most likely all get to the first two places during qualifiers and most likely even Slovenia/Grece might reach the playoff spot. Meanwhile i’m not sure where are we placed compared to Montenegro in Nations League Rankings while Macedonia is out and we’re clearly ahead of Armenia.
We blew it by dropping points early. We should have drawed so we can get an easy path to qualify for Euro 2024. Look at Macedonia today it was so obvious there were playing their second unit so they don’t get promoted.
It’s not based on points the ranking. UEFA nations league rankings is similar to Elo ratings . That’s why they want to get the WC/Euro qualifiers pot seedings from it meanwhile FIFA won’t let them because of their Cocacola ranking.
Albania should be ahead of Montenegro . While Slovenia-Greece are ahead of us. Macedonia actually was way too prudent and Armenia fought more to archive this. If Macedonia won we most likely would’ve been out . Group A 4 winers 99% will win their qualifier groups aswell . Meanwhile the 4 group B winners will most likely come second to the qualifiers . Just have a look at who has won the groups: https://www.diretta.it/calcio/europa/ue ... s=tGw39KKe
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So basically we have to fight off Montenegro and Slovenia for the two WC playoffs spots?
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So what results should we be rooting for now?
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Nope , the best 6 teams second placed from WC qualifiers will host their playoff games against the rest (4 playoff remaining from qualifiers groups and 2 from Nations league best 2 group winners left out). Basically from 12 playoff teams there will be only 3 that qualify .
Actually rooting for the bests and strongest teams in Groups A/B to win and wouldn’t mind Greece winning as they usually get easy groups and second place it’s quite archievable for them.
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Imagine that Lithuania game makes us miss the World Cup
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https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_FI ... cond_Round
Again, the two highest NL group winners that don’t qualify directly through WCQ will get a playoff spot.
We basically need Austria and Wales to qualify naturally in WCQ from Group B, then we need a Scottland and Russia to get draws today in their NL qualifying so they don’t get ahead of us in points.
Then we need Slovenia and Montenegro to qualify to the World Cup naturally as well.
This is also assuming the winners of the groups of league A will qualify for the WC by normal means.
It’s hard to explain as I’m on my phone but we essentially have no chance.
Again, the two highest NL group winners that don’t qualify directly through WCQ will get a playoff spot.
We basically need Austria and Wales to qualify naturally in WCQ from Group B, then we need a Scottland and Russia to get draws today in their NL qualifying so they don’t get ahead of us in points.
Then we need Slovenia and Montenegro to qualify to the World Cup naturally as well.
This is also assuming the winners of the groups of league A will qualify for the WC by normal means.
It’s hard to explain as I’m on my phone but we essentially have no chance.
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League A: Italy , Belgium, France and Spain 99% qualify directlyartan wrote: ↑Wed Nov 18, 2020 9:16 pm https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_FI ... cond_Round
Again, the two highest NL group winners that don’t qualify directly through WCQ will get a playoff spot.
We basically need Austria and Wales to qualify naturally in WCQ from Group B, then we need a Scottland and Russia to get draws today in their NL qualifying so they don’t get ahead of us in points.
Then we need Slovenia and Montenegro to qualify to the World Cup naturally as well.
This is also assuming the winners of the groups of league A will qualify for the WC by normal means.
It’s hard to explain as I’m on my phone but we essentially have no chance.
League B: Austria, Russia, Galles, Czech Rep (favourable otherwise Turkey win over Hungary.)
League C : Both Slovenia and Greece are better ranked than us and we need the winner to get a playoff spot through WC qualifers, Montenegro was behind us in Uefa rankings and still is maybe. If we had won all NL games we would’ve been pot 3 team for next qualifiers but we can’t depend on whatif now . And by the way Serbia is playing they don’t want to relegate to league C. Who knows why? Probably even marketing Tv rights are higher in league B.
edit: Montenegro is ahead of us. They’re counting points . Those Lithuania matches most likely costed us the playoff .So we’d need either Greece or Slovenia get a playoff spot from normal qualifiers:
https://editorial.uefa.com/resources/02 ... iteria.pdf
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